Real-Time Delphi in Practice

Delphi surveys are commonly used to prioritize critical outcomes in core outcome set (COS) development. This trial aims to compare a three-round (Multi-Round) Delphi (MRD) with a Real-Time Delphi (RTD) in the prioritization of outcomes for inclusion in a COS for neonatal encephalopathy treatments and explore whether ‘feedback’, ‘iteration’, and ‘initial condition’ effects may occur in the two survey methods. (Project COHESION core outcome set: a randomized trial)

The paper comprehensively demonstrates how to prepare, conduct, and analyze a Delphi study. In this regard, it combines several methodological advancements of the recent past (e.g., dissent analyses, scenario analyses) with state-of-the-art impulses from other disciplines like strategic management (e.g., fuzzy clustering), psychology (e.g., sentiment analyses), or clinical trials (e.g., consensus measurement).

Studies have estimated that 20% of civilian deaths after injury and 25% of U.S. battlefield deaths are potentially survivable: so 40,000 Americans may die needlessly each year. Aside from the unacceptable human toll, traumatic injury is extraordinarily expensive costing $671 billion in 2013 for lifetime medical care and work loss. Sponsored by the United States Department of Defense, this study will develop a National Trauma Research Action Plan (NTRAP) that unifies the U.S. trauma community around a prioritized, comprehensive research agenda. The NTRAP will provide the framework for a coordinated research program that identifies critical gaps in trauma research and unifies and focuses research efforts across federal agencies and within the civilian and military medical sectors. 

The STRINGS project is mapping development pathways for science, technology and innovation that best address the UN Sustainable Development Goals. A consortium of seven leading universities, research centers and the UNDP are working together to better understand the ways in which science, technology and innovation contribute, or not, to meeting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Low and Middle Income Countries. The project will develop an integrative framework to map the complex relations between research in science, technology and innovation (STI) on the one hand, and the SDGs on the other.

Space futurists will carry out a Delphi exercise at a workshop organized by the the UAE Space Agency to  generate  future  plausible  scenarios  that  articulate how the space future could evolve in 100 years, and what challenges must be overcome to realize the goal of settling on Mars and other parts of the solar system.  The workshop will provide a common space for space-experts to develop a shared vision about plausible scenarios on how the space future could evolve in the short -medium-to-long term. Finally, the white paper will provide a set of recommendations in the form of an action roadmap, including policies, initiatives, investment, and collaboration needs.

The purpose of this evaluation is to i) review progress and achievements against its expected objectives and outcomes over the programme duration, including lessons learned, and challenges faced by the programme; ii) review the impact/results of GHRSP interventions mostly at regional and global levels but also at country level where applicable, within the wider context of strengthening the promotion and protection of human rights in the UNDG (iii) identify strategic opportunities for a continued engagement of UNDP and its partners with the aim of improving policy and programme support at all levels.

DCM stands for Degenerative Cervical Myelopathy and this study - carried out by University of Cambridge and AOSPINE - is a consensus process to improve research efficiency in DCM. RECODE-DCM (REsearch Objectives and COmmon Data Elements for Degenerative Cervical Myelopathy) aims to shape the way future DCM research is carried out, by developing a number of recommendations to improve research efficiency. By carrying out more effective and efficient research, we hope to increase our understanding of DCM and improve the lives of people with DCM. [Read Study] 

Tourism leaders from around the world once again came together for the Ministers’ Summit at WTM London to set out a roadmap for a safer, greener and smarter future for the sector. The pandemic has highlighted the vital importance of travel and tourism for economies, jobs and human wellbeing around the world. By bringing together 200 international leaders from the tourism industry, we can provide concrete solutions to our challenges. The manifesto from the summit will influence governments and key global policies in the next decade, creating a safer, greener and smarter travel and tourism industry.

The FISTERA Delphi study was set up to provide the European Commission with information on the evolution of information and communication technologies. The study was to gain knowledge about the social implications of this evolution and how the broader context within this evolution takes place. The focus was also on social developments, the set-up of the IST knowledge infrastructure within Europe, issues dealing with the industrial strength, the human resources aspect and the priority setting issue. 

IMMERSE is a Europen Union Horizon 2020 funded project aimed at mapping the integration of refugee and migrant children in Europe.  The specific aim of this study is to select the final 30 indicators that will compose IMMERSE dashboard of indicators.  These indicators will be co-created by refugee and migrant children, their families, researchers, NGOs, learning institutions and policymakers.   The dashboard will compile the main parameters and indicators to be collected and analysed regarding the integration of refugee and migrant children. 

The VTE prevention guidelines by the American Academy of Orthopedic Surgeons (AAOS) or the American College of Chest Physicians (AACP) have been implemented in most countries in Asia. However, there are some concerning issues and complications related to VTE prophylaxis in major joint replacement and hip fracture surgeries, according to these guidelines due to differences in the healthcare system and cultural aspect. The AP VTE consensus will provide orthopedic surgeons who practice in Asia Pacific Region appropriate options of VTE diagnosis and prevention methods that benefit their patients with fewer complications.

Recycling water is a strategy that each state is pursuing with the intention of minimizing water shortages. Many states however have been unable to reach goals for volume of water recycled. Recycled water literature focuses primarily on program implementation. Established programs have been little studied and very few have been evaluated in a meaningful way to allow cross comparison of programs. Thus, this study proposes a universal set of evaluative criteria and associated metrics that can be applied in a program evaluation. 

Project FESTOS deals with future security threats posed by emerging technologies and emerging areas of applied research.  The main goal of the project was to identify and assess these potentially evolving threats and to propose policy guidelines aimed at minimizing the likelihood of their realisation.  In accordance with the project‘s workplan, the scanning effort focused on selected technologies in five main fields: ICTs, Nanotechnologies, Biotechnology, Robotics, New Materials, and Converging Technologies (i.e. Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno convergence).  

The SSH-FUTURES project, co-funded by the European Commission within the Sixth Framework Programme, investigates the opportunities for complementary development and closer coupling of the Social Sciences and Humanities in Europe, their mutual interactions with social demands and the potential value of including such an approach within research policies in Europe. The project is organized in six work packages, four of which are conceptualized to produce new insights on the production and use of social science and humanities research now and in the future. 

The ELOST project was set up with the support of the European Commission’s Sixth Framework Programme to make recommendations on e-inclusion and e-Government. The overall goal of the ELOST project is to develop policy recommendations for increasing awareness and usage of e-Government services among low socioeconomic status groups (LSGs). The project includes a comparative cross cultural study of barriers on e-Government use by LSGs in six countries including Israel, Austria, France, Germany, Bulgaria and Finland.

EUFORIA is a pilot project aiming to systematically implement a number of foresight methods in order to enlighten the path towards a European Knowledge Society. The project looks at life as a mix of living conditions, working conditions and industrial relations through experimental, developmental and future-oriented methods in which this Delphi survey played a key part. The cross-national multilingual online Delphi survey carried out for the Euforia project has focused on issues related to the European Knowledge Society and its impacts on living conditions, industrial relations and working conditions.

A panel with diverse expertise (statisticians, professional election betters, campaign vets, pundits, and academics) are invited to make and justify forecasts through Surveylet, then revise based on the anonymized forecasts of the other panelists, until a consensus emerges. This framework is expected to outperform existing political forecasting methods on outcomes  including on outcomes including: 2020 Presidential primaries and general election;What the 116th Congress will accomplish; The next Supreme Court battle.